← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 3/21/2024
Fire EruptingTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 3/21/2024
decks
3
(8.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-6-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.9%
avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
46.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1409
· median 1335
· range 1237–1656
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1210
Q3 1404
1656
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 24.3% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 8.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 8.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.9% | -1.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.2 |
| Wind Allies | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +2.0 |
| Fire Tera Tamer | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tonoris | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.2 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.6% | -2.2 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Zander | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
